Aaron Rodgers: Record against winning teams

Aaron Rodgers Record Against Winning Teams

When you hear the name Aaron Rodgers, chances are you think of MVP seasons, pinpoint accuracy, and unforgettable Hail Mary throws. But one of the most telling measures of a quarterback’s career is how he performs against quality opponents. In our data at SportsAndFitnessDigest.com, we define winning teams as those that finish the season with a .500 or better record. That’s the benchmark used throughout this article.

Why This Stat Matters

Not all wins are created equal. Beating up on bottom-dwellers is one thing. Consistently winning against teams in playoff contention? That’s what separates elite quarterbacks from stat compilers. Rodgers has faced a high number of these matchups over his long career, giving us a detailed picture of how he truly fares when the stakes are highest.

Aaron Rodgers Career Record vs .500+ Teams

Through the end of the 2024 regular season, Aaron Rodgers holds a 42–48 (.467) record against teams that finished the season with a .500 or better record.

That includes his time as the starting quarterback of the Green Bay Packers from 2008 to 2022, and his 2023 season with the New York Jets, which was derailed early by injury.

Here’s a look at his performance by season:

SeasonWinsLosses
200826
200924
201043
201150
201234
201312
201433
201524
201644
201712
201815
201933
202042
202132
202243
202300
202401

Contextualizing Rodgers’ Numbers

Rodgers’ 42 wins over teams that finished the season .500 or better ranks among the top for active QBs. While his win percentage (.467) isn’t elite compared to someone like Patrick Mahomes, who is currently above .670 in these games, it’s important to remember:

  • Rodgers played in the ultra-competitive NFC North for years.
  • He often carried teams with limited weapons or a shaky defense.
  • His peak seasons (2011, 2020) included dominant stretches even against top-tier opponents.

Highs and Lows

Rodgers’ best performance came in 2011 when he went 5–0 against winning teams in the regular season while leading the Packers to a 15–1 record. His lowest point came in 2018, where the Packers finished 6–9–1 overall, and Rodgers went 1–5 against quality opponents.

Even in the later stages of his career, he’s remained competitive, going 4–3 against winning teams in 2022 before joining the Jets.

What This Tells Us About Rodgers

Rodgers’ career isn’t just defined by gaudy stat lines. When matched up with playoff-bound opponents, he holds his own more often than not. He’s not Mahomes-level dominant in this specific stat, but he’s well above average compared to the rest of the league.

If you’re coaching a team, and you know you’re heading into a tough stretch of games against strong opponents, Rodgers is the type of quarterback who still gives you a fighting chance.


Final Thoughts

Evaluating greatness requires looking beyond stats padded in meaningless blowouts. Rodgers’ ability to consistently hold his own, and occasionally dominate, against playoff-caliber opponents reinforces his status as one of the best quarterbacks of his era.

His poise, consistency, and playmaking under pressure have left a lasting mark on the league. While some might debate where he ranks all-time, there’s no question he’s set a standard for quarterback play in the modern NFL.


Chart: Aaron Rodgers vs .500+ Teams by Season

Chart: Aaron Rodgers vs .500+ Teams by Season

External References


Dominique Clare
Dominique Clare

Dominique Clare is a sportswriter, fitness coach, and founder of Sports and Fitness Digest. He specializes in NFL analysis, sports performance metrics, and strength training. His work helps readers break down football data and apply elite training principles to everyday life.

Articles: 163